tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6457473.post1256866538876837075..comments2023-05-27T10:29:17.441+01:00Comments on Little's Log: 3rd May just keeps getting nearerAntonyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09165606568016036829noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6457473.post-38083486682245961332007-04-02T22:11:00.000+01:002007-04-02T22:11:00.000+01:00The elections are indeed looming and am glad to he...The elections are indeed looming and am glad to hear you are already on the stump. However, this post does dwell on the wards where the Conservatives will do well to hang on to third place. I would have expected to hear a little more about Catton Grove (where Eve Collishaw is described in elction literature as "local campaigner" - hasn't she actually been the councillor for the past three years?) or Bowthorpe. However, on national swing alone both seats should be safely Tory and it's the winnable seats with slightly longer odds that are of interest - indeed this might be the year for Eaton but personally my eye is on Crome... a very solid vote last year and Labour in decline in the national polls, could be 2000 all over again. Now it could be said that lightening cannot strike the same place twice and the previous Tory victor made barely a ripple (and ideed usually voted with Labour on major issues) but I do wonder if Alan Waters is losing any sleep.<BR/><BR/>Months ago I predicted that the Greens will be the second biggest party and was slightly pooh pooh'd. However, this aim is now flagged up on the national website. They currently have 9 - Town Close equals 10, Thorpe Hamlet is maybe next (although I have always said Sewell is a better option for them). Second party is a real possibility - indeed if the Tories do the job in Eaton and Crome; Greens gain two or three, Lib Dems make up for their losses by winning Mile X and Lakenham - final result: Greens are largest party. (Gr12,Lab11, Lib11, Tory 5)<BR/><BR/>However, this is a long shot - more likely to happen next year when they mop up Mancroft/Thorpe Hamlet. The perversity is that it will take a strong Tory result to get the Greens there.<BR/><BR/>Anyway - to conclude, as far as Norwich is concerned it is now or never for the Conservatives - Labour will bottom out, Lib Dems frankly "minging" and the Greens haven't yet had their moment of history. If you don't make a mark now far from being 160 odd target seat it will be third (if you are lucky).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com